(ND Ag Connection) – This year’s warmer and drier winter conditions have provided certain benefits for ranchers, such as easier winter feeding and simpler maintenance of water supplies. North Dakota State University Extension forage crops production specialist James Rogers warns that there are potential challenges ahead for ranchers as spring approaches.

Rogers notes that while the milder conditions have reduced cold weather stressors on cow herds, making it easier to meet cattle nutrient requirements, the Northern Plains remains a fragile environment subject to extreme heat, cold, and limited rainfall.

According to Rogers, forecast models from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center indicate a continuation of the El Niño effect, leading to warmer, drier weather predictions for the spring.

For crop farmers, above-normal temperatures could mean earlier planting conditions but also potential downsides such as early weed emergence and uncertainty regarding precipitation.

For ranchers, additional variables come into play. Rogers highlights the importance of pasture and range plant management before the grazing season ends.

Severe fall grazing can negatively impact energy storage, bud formation, and tiller production, resulting in reduced forage production the following year.

The unpredictability of spring conditions adds to the challenges for ranchers, with above-normal temperatures potentially allowing early spring plant growth, while below-normal precipitation could delay biomass production and disrupt spring turnout, and late winter storms could disrupt operations.

Rogers advises ranchers to be prepared for various scenarios and to monitor factors such as cow herd health and condition, calf health, and management practices from now until the end of breeding season.

He emphasizes the importance of considering all variables, including previous weather conditions, grazing management, current weather, and future predictions, in preparing for the upcoming season.

Rogers urges ranchers in North Dakota to remain vigilant and adaptable amidst unusual weather conditions, ensuring they can handle spring challenges, manage forage resources effectively, and maintain the health and productivity of their herds.